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Croc_Intuition (SeriyGena)

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Название ПАММ-портфеля: Croc_Intuition

Номер ПАММ-портфеля: 30728

Управляющий: SeriyGena

Дата открытия: 20.06.2019

Валюта депозита: USD

Неснижаемый остаток: 1000 USD

 

Мониторинг ПАММ-портфеля

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SeriyGena

Hey, everyone!

This is to present my vision of this PAMM portfolio management.

At current money level, an average commission paid monthly to PAMM managers on average about 25%. I am planning to ask for discounts later when an investment will be significant. I believe, after negotiation, it is possible to decrease commissions to 15-20%.

An expectation to have annually ~ 60% net profit, it is after clearing of commissions.

At the 1st step, it is targeted to increase investment on PAMMs to 1000 – 2000$, where this can improve the commission paid to PAMMs manager.

My commissions earned from subscribers will be redeposited in this way.

Crock Intuition PAMM portfolio consists of accounts with different expected returns and risk. It is planned, to partially withdraw profits from higher-risk accounts and transfer revenue to lower risk, lower profit accounts.

  • It is hard to predict drawdown, but it was initially looked for a diversity of accounts combined this PAMM to have accounts in DD in the specific month with profit on other accounts.
  • I am not including accounts has 4 or more month with losses in a row, but once the account was included, depending on the situation, I can keep account up to 4 months in a loss in a row.
  • I am not including accounts had historical DD above 30%.
  • I am not including accounts if I am seeing martingales curves.
  • I am trying to identify that return of chosen account was not the "lucky" result of single trade on a sequence.
  • I am paying attention if a manager can work with investments, when investment significant, higher, than manager funds.
  • I am planning to be on the forum from time to time.
  • PAMM composition accounts can be updated ongoing.

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SeriyGena

Total return for all time (1m 20 days) 65 position; -507$; -8.2%.


WW32 Total return -1.5%, Profit on 1000$ is 15$

 

PAMM, Commisions%; planned share+-5%; WW32 profit% (profit closed and equity - balance) , WW33 profit...: 

WW32
Big_Project,                       20%:  8%;   -6.7%     (-37.54 )
Conservative up,              20%; 10%;  -3.37%   (-21.97 and )
DSV Jarec,                        33%;  7%;   -3.32%  (-5.84)
F.I.T.                                    30%; 7%;     17.42%   (27.7)
HighFive MZ,                    35%; 12%;  -1.29%  (-10.68)
Konkord stable profi,       20%; 9%     -7.15%    (-38.23)
Koto,                                   20%; 8%     1.05%     (5.74)
ProfitFabric,                      30%; 7.5 %   0.73%    (3.76)
Real Earnings,                   30%; 8.5%  0.81 %     (4.68)
ST-INVEST,                        20%; 8.5     23.98%     (106.21)
Solaris500,                        38%; 8.3%  -22.72% (-137.79)
Treasure Hunt,                  30% ; 6%      0.19%     (0.79)

 

WW31 Removed: GAIN 5O, Stable88888;
**Candidates to be removed due to High commissions: Solaris500, HighFive MZ, DSV Jarec.

*** Candidates to add:
https://alpari.com/en/invest/pamm/416226/#pamm-equity
https://alpari.com/en/invest/pamm/340226/#pamm-return
https://alpari.com/en/invest/pamm/395794/#pamm-return
https://alpari.com/en/invest/pamm/440373/#pamm-return
https://alpari.com/ru/invest/pamm/422791/#pamm-return
https://alpari.com/en/invest/pamm/375772/#pamm-return

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SeriyGena

Total return for all time (1m 26 days) 57 position; -381$; -6.5%.

 

WW33 Total return  +2.9 %, Profit on 1000$ is 29$
WW32 Total return -1.5%, Profit on 1000$ is 15$

 

 

PAMM, Commisions%; planned share+-5%; WW32 profit% (profit closed and equity - balance) , WW33 profit...: 

WW33
Big_Project,                      20%:  8%;     WW32 -6.7%  (-37.54 ), WW33 -2.5% (-13.95)
Conservative up,              20%; 10%;     WW32  -3.37%   (-21.97), WW33 3.68% (23)
DSV Jarec,                        33%;  9%;      WW32 -3.32%  (-5.84), WW33 3.67% (31)
F.I.T.                                    30%; 7%;      WW32 17.42%   (27.7), WW33 6.18% (21)
HighFive MZ,                    35%; 17%;     WW32 -1.29%  (-10.68), WW33 4.32% (39)
Konkord stable profi,       20%; 9%;      WW32  -7.15%    (-38.23), WW33 7.03% (38)
Koto,                                  20%; 8%;       WW32 1.05%     (5.74), WW33 0.44% (2.5)
ProfitFabric,                      30%;  8%;     WW32 0.73%    (3.76), WW33 4.2% (21.6)
Real Earnings,                  30%; 8.5%;   WW32 0.81 %     (4.68), WW33 1.8 (10)
ST-INVEST,                        20%; 8.5;      WW32 23.98%     (106.21), WW33 3.08% (14)
Treasure Hunt,                 30% ; 5.5%;  WW32      0.19%     (0.79), WW33 -3.14 (-12.5)

 

WW31 Removed: GAIN 5O, Stable88888;

WW33 Removed:  Solaris500;


**Candidates to be removed due to High commissions: Solaris500, HighFive MZ, DSV Jarec.

*** Candidates to add:
https://alpari.com/en/invest/pamm/416226/#pamm-equity
https://alpari.com/en/invest/pamm/340226/#pamm-return
https://alpari.com/en/invest/pamm/395794/#pamm-return
https://alpari.com/en/invest/pamm/440373/#pamm-return
https://alpari.com/ru/invest/pamm/422791/#pamm-return
https://alpari.com/en/invest/pamm/375772/#pamm-return

https://alpari.com/ru/invest/pamm/202131/#pamm-return
https://alpari.com/ru/invest/pamm/380243/#pamm-return
https://alpari.com/ru/invest/pamm/420318/#pamm-return
https://alpari.com/ru/invest/pamm/370525

 

 

 

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SeriyGena

Портфель

Примерный состав, на двух памах  на данныймомент нет открытой оферты, поэтому не в конструкторе.

 

 

portfolio.PNG

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SeriyGena

При пессимистическом подходе и равном распредилении денег между паммами, беря среднюю доходность с февраля месяца 2019 -  ожидаемый годовой доход 60%. 

- 25% на чай -  ИТОГО 45% Годовых. 

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SeriyGena

Here is a calculation of revenue expectation from some PAMMs, calculation  based on Alpari article:

 

PAMM Nickel:

(from return chart ~72 % last year):

How many investors expect to earn?

AVERAGE MONTHLY LOSS 12.05, AVERAGE MONTHLY PROFIT 13.6. To simplify, expected sequence:

Profit, Loss, Profit, Profit. With remuneration 35% and 1000$ start capital: 1120,948,1022,1102.

This is 2.5% monthly.

 

PAMM Coworking trade:

(from return chart ~510 % last year):

How many investors expect to earn?

AVERAGE MONTHLY LOSS 5.75, AVERAGE MONTHLY PROFIT of 20%. To simplify, expected sequence:

Profit, Loss, Profit, Profit, Profit. With remuneration 35% and 1000$ start capital: 1130,1063,1201,1357.

This is ~9% monthly.

 

PAMM Banker USD:

 (from return chart ~37% last year):

How many investors expect to earn?

AVERAGE MONTHLY LOSS 4.7, AVERAGE MONTHLY PROFIT of 3.8%. To simplify, expected sequence:

Profit, Loss, Profit, Profit, Profit. With remuneration 17% and 1000$ start capital: 1031,982,1012,1043,1077

This is ~1.6% monthly.

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SeriyGena

 

I checked my current PAMM performance 2019, next PAMMS has low profit

 

Treasure hunt 30% (to the manager), 0.8 Monthly, negative month ~-5%

 

Tresure Hunt 30%; 0.8%;-5 – Remove to low profitablity

Kuropatkin 33%; ~2%; -25!  - Remove due too high remuneration

Real Earnings 30%;1%; -4.3%

ST_Invest 20%; 2,2%; -25%!  Remove at the end of September

Koto 20%; 1; -3.97%

Keltner 25%; 2%; -5.87% (keep , this kind of strategy, not works good at 2019)

Banker 35%; 2.5; -4.7%  - Remove due too high remuneration

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